Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Neil Erasmus

Fremantle · vs WBD

4.5 MKO —U —

Hit rate

28% (5/18)

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Avg

4.0

L10

4.2

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs WBD

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Game conditionsPerth Stadium · PerthRound 21 · 2026-07-31 20:10☁ 14.9°C☂ 0.3mm (44%)🌬 4.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Neilvs all playersStatWBD concedePer game

17.9Disposals388.2

9.0Kicks229.6

4.0Marks106.7

2.9Tackles61.2

1.8Clearances35.7

2.6Inside 50s54.1

6.3Contested Poss.132.4

0.4Goals12.6

Disposals

Neil17.9

WBD388.2

Kicks

Neil9.0

WBD229.6

Marks

Neil4.0

WBD106.7

Tackles

Neil2.9

WBD61.2

Clearances

Neil1.8

WBD35.7

Inside 50s

Neil2.6

WBD54.1

Contested Poss.

Neil6.3

WBD132.4

Goals

Neil0.4

WBD12.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WBD concede · Marks

106.7per game · league avg 93.0

#3 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At Perth Stadium3.2(32)+0.1

Everywhere else3.1(24)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)3.8(4)+0.6

Dry games3.1(52)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.