Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Matthew Johnson

Fremantle · vs WBD

3.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

35% (6/17)

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Avg

3.1

3.2

L10

3.0

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs WBD

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Game conditionsPerth Stadium · PerthRound 21 · 2026-07-31 20:10☁ 14.9°C☂ 0.3mm (44%)🌬 4.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Matthewvs all playersStatWBD concedePer game

16.8Disposals388.2

7.1Kicks229.6

2.6Marks106.7

3.1Tackles61.2

2.4Clearances35.7

2.8Inside 50s54.1

5.3Contested Poss.132.4

0.2Goals12.6

Disposals

Matthew16.8

WBD388.2

Kicks

Matthew7.1

WBD229.6

Marks

Matthew2.6

WBD106.7

Tackles

Matthew3.1

WBD61.2

Clearances

Matthew2.4

WBD35.7

Inside 50s

Matthew2.8

WBD54.1

Contested Poss.

Matthew5.3

WBD132.4

Goals

Matthew0.2

WBD12.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WBD concede · Tackles

61.2per game · league avg 56.9

#4 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At Perth Stadium2.8(39)-0.4

Everywhere else3.2(33)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)5.5(4)+2.7

Dry games2.8(68)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.