AFL
PProjectPunt
Mark Blicavs
Mark Blicavs
Geelong · @ MEL
7.5 HBO U
Hit rate
50% (7/14)
enter odds to compare
Avg
7.9
L5
8.8
L10
7.3
High
14
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
10GCSMar 0612FREMar 1410ADEMar 265HAWApr 0610WBDApr 170PORApr 255BRIMay 148SYDMay 236CARMay 296ADEJun 0410GCSJun 127FREJun 1814BRIJul 027GWSJul 11?MELJul 247.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ MEL
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-24 19:4011.3°C0mm (0%)🌬 16.3 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Mark13.2
MEL382.0
Kicks
Mark5.4
MEL220.8
Marks
Mark2.6
MEL101.2
Tackles
Mark2.6
MEL51.0
Clearances
Mark1.8
MEL35.6
Inside 50s
Mark1.2
MEL52.3
Contested poss.
Mark6.4
MEL129.3
Goals
Mark0.1
MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Handballs

161.2per game · league avg 155.5
#5 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At M.C.G.6.1(17)-2.2
Everywhere else8.3(46)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)8.4(5)+0.7
Dry games7.7(58)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.