Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Jack Bowes

Geelong · @ COL

2.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

44% (4/9)

enter odds to compare

Avg

2.4

2.2

L10

2.4

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 21 @ COL

Enter odds and a stake to track this bet. You'll settle it by hand on the bets page — nothing grades itself.

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-07-30 19:30☁ 9°C☂ 0.2mm (1%)🌬 5.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jackvs all playersStatCOL concedePer game

17.6Disposals389.3

10.1Kicks227.3

3.7Marks105.6

2.4Tackles48.4

1.0Clearances35.6

3.6Inside 50s55.2

5.3Contested Poss.128.0

0.8Goals11.6

Disposals

Jack17.6

COL389.3

Kicks

Jack10.1

COL227.3

Marks

Jack3.7

COL105.6

Tackles

Jack2.4

COL48.4

Clearances

Jack1.0

COL35.6

Inside 50s

Jack3.6

COL55.2

Contested Poss.

Jack5.3

COL128.0

Goals

Jack0.8

COL11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

COL concede · Tackles

48.4per game · league avg 56.9

#18 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At M.C.G.3.5(20)+0.3

Everywhere else3.2(49)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)3.0(4)-0.3

Dry games3.3(65)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.