Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Brad Close

Geelong · @ COL

0.5 FFO —U —

Hit rate

55% (6/11)

enter odds to compare

Avg

0.8

L10

0.9

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 21 @ COL

Enter odds and a stake to track this bet. You'll settle it by hand on the bets page — nothing grades itself.

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-07-30 19:30☁ 9°C☂ 0.2mm (1%)🌬 5.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Bradvs all playersStatCOL concedePer game

9.6Disposals389.3

4.6Kicks227.3

2.1Marks105.6

2.4Tackles48.4

0.2Clearances35.6

2.4Inside 50s55.2

3.2Contested Poss.128.0

0.7Goals11.6

Disposals

Brad9.6

COL389.3

Kicks

Brad4.6

COL227.3

Marks

Brad2.1

COL105.6

Tackles

Brad2.4

COL48.4

Clearances

Brad0.2

COL35.6

Inside 50s

Brad2.4

COL55.2

Contested Poss.

Brad3.2

COL128.0

Goals

Brad0.7

COL11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

COL concede · Frees For

16.9per game · league avg 19.0

#17 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Frees For

At M.C.G.0.8(36)-0.2

Everywhere else1.0(102)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.5(11)+0.5

Dry games0.9(127)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.