AFL
PProjectPunt
Brad Close
Brad Close
Geelong · @ MEL
5.5 HBO U
Hit rate
45% (5/11)
enter odds to compare
Avg
5.0
L5
5.4
L10
4.9
High
10
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
6GCSMar 062FREMar 146HAWApr 062WCEApr 123PORApr 259NORMay 025COLMay 093BRIMay 141SYDMay 238CARMay 2910STKJul 16?MELJul 245.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ MEL
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-24 19:4011.3°C0mm (0%)🌬 16.3 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Brad9.6
MEL382.0
Kicks
Brad4.6
MEL220.8
Marks
Brad2.1
MEL101.2
Tackles
Brad2.4
MEL51.0
Clearances
Brad0.2
MEL35.6
Inside 50s
Brad2.4
MEL52.3
Contested poss.
Brad3.2
MEL129.3
Goals
Brad0.7
MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Handballs

161.2per game · league avg 155.5
#5 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At M.C.G.6.2(18)+0.8
Everywhere else5.3(44)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)5.8(5)+0.3
Dry games5.5(57)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.