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© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
GEERound 22Sat 08-08 · 16:35ESS
JPJay PolkinghorneMI54.5Jeremy CameronJeremy CameronMI52.5Shannon NealeShannon NealeMI52.5Patrick DangerfieldPatrick DangerfieldMI51.5Jack MartinJack MartinMI51.5OHOliver HenryMI51.5ODOliver DempseyMI50.5Brad CloseBrad CloseMI50.5OWOliver WiltshireMI50.5Shaun MannaghShaun MannaghMI50.5Mitch KnevittMitch KnevittMI50.5Jhye ClarkJhye ClarkMI50.5
Nate CaddyNate CaddyMI52.5Peter WrightPeter WrightMI51.5AMArchie MayMI51.5Kyle LangfordKyle LangfordMI50.5Ben McKayBen McKayMI5

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

JPJay Polkinghorne4.5Jeremy CameronJeremy Cameron2.5Shannon NealeShannon Neale2.5Patrick DangerfieldPatrick Dangerfield1.5Jack MartinJack Martin1.5OHOliver Henry1.5OD
0.5
TETom EdwardsMI50.5
HAHussien El AchkarMI50.5
Isaac KakoIsaac KakoMI50.5
Jayden NguyenJayden NguyenMI50.5
ADArcher Day-WicksMI50.5
Archie PerkinsArchie PerkinsMI50.5
Harry JonesHarry JonesMI50.5
Oliver Dempsey
0.5
Brad CloseBrad Close0.5
OWOliver Wiltshire0.5
Shaun MannaghShaun Mannagh0.5
Mitch KnevittMitch Knevitt0.5
Jhye ClarkJhye Clark0.5
Nate CaddyNate Caddy2.5
Peter WrightPeter Wright1.5
AMArchie May1.5
Kyle LangfordKyle Langford0.5
Ben McKayBen McKay0.5
TETom Edwards0.5
HAHussien El Achkar0.5
Isaac KakoIsaac Kako0.5
Jayden NguyenJayden Nguyen0.5
ADArcher Day-Wicks0.5
Archie PerkinsArchie Perkins0.5
Harry JonesHarry Jones0.5
DisposalsKicksMarksHandballsGoalsTacklesHitoutsClearancesGoal AssistsMarks Inside 50
Current to Round 21, today
Brad Close
Brad Close
Geelong · vs ESS
0.5 MI5O —U —
Hit rate
50% (6/12)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.8
L5
0.6
L10
0.8
High
3
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o0.5
1GCSMar 060FREMar 140HAWApr 063WCEApr 121PORApr 250NORMay 021COLMay 090BRIMay 142SYDMay 230CARMay 290STKJul 161MELJul 24?ESSAug 080.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsKardinia Park · GeelongRound 22 · 2026-08-08 16:35☁ 11.2°C☂ 0.6mm (41%)🌬 20.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Bradvs all playersStatESS concedePer game
10.2
17
Disposalsneutral
100
402.2
Brad 10.2/game
ESS concedes 402.2/game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
4.9
11
Kicksneutral
100
234.0
Brad 4.9/game
ESS concedes 234.0/game · league avg 213.9
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
2.1
9
Marksneutral
100
118.6
Brad 2.1/game
ESS concedes 118.6/game · league avg 93.5
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
2.2
50
Tacklesunfavorable
12
50.3
Brad 2.2/game
ESS concedes 50.3/game · league avg 56.5
#16 of 18 clubs most conceded
0.3
18
Clearancesunfavorable
18
33.6
Brad 0.3/game
ESS concedes 33.6/game · league avg 35.7
#15 of 18 clubs most conceded
2.6
69
Inside 50sneutral
88
55.8
Brad 2.6/game
ESS concedes 55.8/game · league avg 52.9
#3 of 18 clubs most conceded
3.4
13
Contested Poss.unfavorable
6
121.8
Brad 3.4/game
ESS concedes 121.8/game · league avg 128.8
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
0.8
74
Goalsfavorable
94
15.2
Brad 0.8/game
ESS concedes 15.2/game · league avg 12.8
#2 of 18 clubs most conceded
Disposalsneutral
Brad10.2
17
ESS402.2
100
Brad 10.2/game
ESS concedes 402.2/game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Kicksneutral
Brad4.9

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Marks Inside 50

16.1per game · league avg 12.2
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks Inside 50

At Kardinia Park0.9(48)+0.1
Everywhere else0.8(91)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks Inside 50

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(11)+0.2
Dry games0.8(128)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.

Similar players vs ESS · Marks Inside 50

Avg diff
+0.1
Avg diff %
+5%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-25HAWHarry Morrison1.010%
07-25HAWJack Ginnivan1.21-15%
07-25HAWJarman Impey1.010%
07-25HAWCam Mackenzie1.010%
07-25HAWJames Sicily1.010%
07-25HAWNick Watson1.82+9%
07-19GWSXavier OHalloran1.010%
07-19GWSToby Greene1.42+47%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Brad's. Computed from this app's own records.
11
ESS234.0
100
Brad 4.9/game
ESS concedes 234.0/game · league avg 213.9
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Marksneutral
Brad2.1
9
ESS118.6
100
Brad 2.1/game
ESS concedes 118.6/game · league avg 93.5
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Tacklesunfavorable
Brad2.2
50
ESS50.3
12
Brad 2.2/game
ESS concedes 50.3/game · league avg 56.5
#16 of 18 clubs most conceded
Clearancesunfavorable
Brad0.3
18
ESS33.6
18
Brad 0.3/game
ESS concedes 33.6/game · league avg 35.7
#15 of 18 clubs most conceded
Inside 50sneutral
Brad2.6
69
ESS55.8
88
Brad 2.6/game
ESS concedes 55.8/game · league avg 52.9
#3 of 18 clubs most conceded
Contested Poss.unfavorable
Brad3.4
13
ESS121.8
6
Brad 3.4/game
ESS concedes 121.8/game · league avg 128.8
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
Goalsfavorable
Brad0.8
74
ESS15.2
94
Brad 0.8/game
ESS concedes 15.2/game · league avg 12.8
#2 of 18 clubs most conceded
All
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