AFL
PProjectPunt
GEE
Oliver Dempsey
Geelong · @ MEL
4.5 MKO U
Hit rate
44% (8/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
4.7
L5
4.4
L10
4.5
High
9
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
4GCSMar 062FREMar 147ADEMar 264HAWApr 067WCEApr 125WBDApr 176PORApr 254NORMay 021COLMay 093BRIMay 147SYDMay 239CARMay 293ADEJun 046GCSJun 123FREJun 183BRIJul 026GWSJul 114STKJul 16?MELJul 244.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ MEL
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-24 19:4011.3°C0mm (0%)🌬 16.3 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Oliver19.0
MEL382.0
Kicks
Oliver9.2
MEL220.8
Marks
Oliver4.7
MEL101.2
Tackles
Oliver1.7
MEL51.0
Clearances
Oliver1.3
MEL35.6
Inside 50s
Oliver2.8
MEL52.3
Contested poss.
Oliver6.5
MEL129.3
Goals
Oliver1.2
MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Marks

101.2per game · league avg 93.0
#5 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At M.C.G.4.8(18)+0.7
Everywhere else4.1(51)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)3.2(5)-1.1
Dry games4.3(64)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.