Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Zach Guthrie

Geelong · @ COL

0.5 GLO —U —

Hit rate

6% (1/18)

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Avg

0.1

0.0

L10

0.0

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ COL

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Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-07-30 19:30☁ 9°C☂ 0.2mm (1%)🌬 5.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Zachvs all playersStatCOL concedePer game

16.0Disposals389.3

9.9Kicks227.3

5.0Marks105.6

2.9Tackles48.4

0.6Clearances35.6

1.1Inside 50s55.2

4.1Contested Poss.128.0

0.1Goals11.6

Disposals

Zach16.0

COL389.3

Kicks

Zach9.9

COL227.3

Marks

Zach5.0

COL105.6

Tackles

Zach2.9

COL48.4

Clearances

Zach0.6

COL35.6

Inside 50s

Zach1.1

COL55.2

Contested Poss.

Zach4.1

COL128.0

Goals

Zach0.1

COL11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

COL concede · Goals

11.6per game · league avg 12.7

#15 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Goals

At M.C.G.0.1(34)

Everywhere else0.1(95)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goals

Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(8)-0.1

Dry games0.1(121)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.