AFL
PProjectPunt
GEE
Zach Guthrie
Geelong · @ MEL
5.5 MKO U
Hit rate
33% (6/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
5.0
L5
4.6
L10
5.1
High
8
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
5GCSMar 068FREMar 144ADEMar 265HAWApr 063WCEApr 127WBDApr 173PORApr 254NORMay 028COLMay 094BRIMay 146SYDMay 237CARMay 293ADEJun 045GCSJun 125FREJun 184BRIJul 022GWSJul 117STKJul 16?MELJul 245.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ MEL
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-24 19:4011.3°C0mm (0%)🌬 16.3 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Zach16.0
MEL382.0
Kicks
Zach9.9
MEL220.8
Marks
Zach5.0
MEL101.2
Tackles
Zach2.9
MEL51.0
Clearances
Zach0.6
MEL35.6
Inside 50s
Zach1.1
MEL52.3
Contested poss.
Zach4.1
MEL129.3
Goals
Zach0.1
MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Marks

101.2per game · league avg 93.0
#5 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At M.C.G.6.2(18)+0.4
Everywhere else5.8(51)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)5.4(5)-0.6
Dry games6.0(64)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.