Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Jack Henry

Geelong · @ COL

4.5 MKO —U —

Hit rate

36% (5/14)

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Avg

4.4

4.6

L10

4.2

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ COL

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Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-07-30 19:30☁ 9°C☂ 0.2mm (1%)🌬 5.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jackvs all playersStatCOL concedePer game

9.6Disposals389.3

6.2Kicks227.3

4.4Marks105.6

0.9Tackles48.4

0.1Clearances35.6

0.7Inside 50s55.2

3.8Contested Poss.128.0

0.4Goals11.6

Disposals

Jack9.6

COL389.3

Kicks

Jack6.2

COL227.3

Marks

Jack4.4

COL105.6

Tackles

Jack0.9

COL48.4

Clearances

Jack0.1

COL35.6

Inside 50s

Jack0.7

COL55.2

Contested Poss.

Jack3.8

COL128.0

Goals

Jack0.4

COL11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

COL concede · Marks

105.6per game · league avg 93.0

#4 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At M.C.G.4.7(36)-0.5

Everywhere else5.2(120)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)4.0(12)-1.2

Dry games5.2(144)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.