Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Oliver Henry

Geelong · @ COL

7.5 KIO —U —

Hit rate

41% (7/17)

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Avg

7.2

6.2

L10

7.2

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ COL

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Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-07-30 19:30☁ 9°C☂ 0.2mm (1%)🌬 5.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Olivervs all playersStatCOL concedePer game

11.1Disposals389.3

7.2Kicks227.3

3.2Marks105.6

1.6Tackles48.4

0.5Clearances35.6

2.5Inside 50s55.2

4.7Contested Poss.128.0

1.6Goals11.6

Disposals

Oliver11.1

COL389.3

Kicks

Oliver7.2

COL227.3

Marks

Oliver3.2

COL105.6

Tackles

Oliver1.6

COL48.4

Clearances

Oliver0.5

COL35.6

Inside 50s

Oliver2.5

COL55.2

Contested Poss.

Oliver4.7

COL128.0

Goals

Oliver1.6

COL11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

COL concede · Kicks

227.3per game · league avg 213.8

#3 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At M.C.G.6.1(18)-0.1

Everywhere else6.2(59)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)6.0(4)-0.2

Dry games6.2(73)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.