AFL
PProjectPunt
Max Holmes
Max Holmes
Geelong · @ MEL
0.5 FFO U
Hit rate
61% (11/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.8
L5
1.0
L10
0.8
High
3
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1GCSMar 060FREMar 141ADEMar 262HAWApr 061WCEApr 120WBDApr 170PORApr 251NORMay 021COLMay 090BRIMay 141SYDMay 230CARMay 291ADEJun 040GCSJun 121FREJun 183BRIJul 021GWSJul 110STKJul 16?MELJul 240.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ MEL
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-24 19:4011.3°C0mm (0%)🌬 16.3 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Max29.2
MEL382.0
Kicks
Max17.1
MEL220.8
Marks
Max4.9
MEL101.2
Tackles
Max3.1
MEL51.0
Clearances
Max4.2
MEL35.6
Inside 50s
Max5.1
MEL52.3
Contested poss.
Max9.3
MEL129.3
Goals
Max0.2
MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Frees For

17.1per game · league avg 19.0
#16 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Frees For

At M.C.G.0.6(18)-0.3
Everywhere else0.8(51)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.4(5)+0.7
Dry games0.7(64)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.