AFL
PProjectPunt
Max Holmes
Max Holmes
Geelong · @ MEL
0.5 GAO U
Hit rate
44% (8/18)
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Avg
0.9
L5
0.6
L10
0.7
High
3
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0GCSMar 061FREMar 140ADEMar 263HAWApr 062WCEApr 122WBDApr 170PORApr 251NORMay 022COLMay 090BRIMay 142SYDMay 230CARMay 290ADEJun 040GCSJun 123FREJun 180BRIJul 020GWSJul 110STKJul 16?MELJul 240.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ MEL
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-24 19:4011.3°C0mm (0%)🌬 16.3 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Max29.2
MEL382.0
Kicks
Max17.1
MEL220.8
Marks
Max4.9
MEL101.2
Tackles
Max3.1
MEL51.0
Clearances
Max4.2
MEL35.6
Inside 50s
Max5.1
MEL52.3
Contested poss.
Max9.3
MEL129.3
Goals
Max0.2
MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Goal Assists

10.3per game · league avg 9.3
#4 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goal Assists

At M.C.G.0.8(18)+0.2
Everywhere else0.6(51)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goal Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.8(5)+0.1
Dry games0.7(64)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.