AFL
PProjectPunt
Max Holmes
Max Holmes
Geelong · @ MEL
4.5 MKO U
Hit rate
56% (10/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
4.9
L5
4.0
L10
4.2
High
8
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
8GCSMar 067FREMar 145ADEMar 266HAWApr 064WCEApr 127WBDApr 175PORApr 254NORMay 024COLMay 096BRIMay 146SYDMay 233CARMay 293ADEJun 046GCSJun 123FREJun 183BRIJul 027GWSJul 111STKJul 16?MELJul 244.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ MEL
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-24 19:4011.3°C0mm (0%)🌬 16.3 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Max29.2
MEL382.0
Kicks
Max17.1
MEL220.8
Marks
Max4.9
MEL101.2
Tackles
Max3.1
MEL51.0
Clearances
Max4.2
MEL35.6
Inside 50s
Max5.1
MEL52.3
Contested poss.
Max9.3
MEL129.3
Goals
Max0.2
MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Marks

101.2per game · league avg 93.0
#5 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At M.C.G.5.1(18)-0.4
Everywhere else5.4(51)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)5.6(5)+0.3
Dry games5.3(64)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.