AFL
PProjectPunt
Lawson Humphries
Lawson Humphries
Geelong · @ MEL
5.5 MKO U
Hit rate
59% (10/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
5.7
L5
4.4
L10
5.2
High
10
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1GCSMar 069FREMar 145ADEMar 268HAWApr 067WCEApr 128WBDApr 177PORApr 255NORMay 027COLMay 093BRIMay 149SYDMay 236CARMay 292GCSJun 126FREJun 182BRIJul 022GWSJul 1110STKJul 16?MELJul 245.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ MEL
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-24 19:4011.3°C0mm (0%)🌬 16.3 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Lawson20.6
MEL382.0
Kicks
Lawson14.8
MEL220.8
Marks
Lawson5.7
MEL101.2
Tackles
Lawson2.4
MEL51.0
Clearances
Lawson0.6
MEL35.6
Inside 50s
Lawson2.1
MEL52.3
Contested poss.
Lawson4.4
MEL129.3
Goals
Lawson0.2
MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Marks

101.2per game · league avg 93.0
#5 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At M.C.G.6.0(14)+0.6
Everywhere else5.4(39)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)4.3(3)-1.3
Dry games5.7(50)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.