Only 2 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Game conditionsKardinia Park · GeelongRound 22 · 2026-08-08 16:35☁ 11.2°C☂ 0.6mm (41%)🌬 20.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Mitchvs all playersStatESS concedePer game
10.5
20
Disposalsneutral
100
402.2
Mitch 10.5/game
ESS concedes 402.2/game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
5.5
17
Kicksneutral
100
234.0
Mitch 5.5/game
ESS concedes 234.0/game · league avg 213.9
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
2.0
8
Marksneutral
100
118.6
Mitch 2.0/game
ESS concedes 118.6/game · league avg 93.5
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
3.5
84
Tacklesunfavorable
12
50.3
Mitch 3.5/game
ESS concedes 50.3/game · league avg 56.5
#16 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.0
58
Clearancesunfavorable
18
33.6
Mitch 1.0/game
ESS concedes 33.6/game · league avg 35.7
#15 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.0
13
Inside 50sneutral
88
55.8
Mitch 1.0/game
ESS concedes 55.8/game · league avg 52.9
#3 of 18 clubs most conceded
5.5
64
Contested Poss.unfavorable
6
121.8
Mitch 5.5/game
ESS concedes 121.8/game · league avg 128.8
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.0
80
Goalsfavorable
94
15.2
Mitch 1.0/game
ESS concedes 15.2/game · league avg 12.8
#2 of 18 clubs most conceded
Disposalsneutral
Mitch10.5
20
ESS402.2
100
Mitch 10.5/game
ESS concedes 402.2/game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Kicksneutral
Mitch5.5
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
ESS concede · Tackles
50.3per game · league avg 56.5
#16 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Tackles
At Kardinia Park3.4(7)+0.9
Everywhere else2.6(16)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)3.0(2)+0.2
Dry games2.8(21)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs ESS · Tackles
Avg diff
-0.6
Avg diff %
-25%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-25HAWWill Day5.050%
07-25HAWConnor Macdonald3.53-15%
07-25HAWMassimo DAmbrosio3.31-70%
07-25HAWBlake Hardwick2.62-24%
07-25HAWJack Ginnivan2.51-60%
07-25HAWBailey Macdonald3.43-11%
07-25HAWMabior Chol2.41-59%
07-25HAWCam Mackenzie4.26+42%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Mitch's. Computed from this app's own records.
