Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Shaun Mannagh

Geelong · @ COL

5.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

39% (7/18)

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Avg

5.0

7.4

L10

6.2

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ COL

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Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-07-30 19:30☁ 9°C☂ 0.2mm (2%)🌬 5.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Shaunvs all playersStatCOL concedePer game

16.3Disposals389.3

11.3Kicks227.3

2.2Marks105.6

2.6Tackles48.4

2.4Clearances35.6

4.1Inside 50s55.2

6.1Contested Poss.128.0

1.4Goals11.6

Disposals

Shaun16.3

COL389.3

Kicks

Shaun11.3

COL227.3

Marks

Shaun2.2

COL105.6

Tackles

Shaun2.6

COL48.4

Clearances

Shaun2.4

COL35.6

Inside 50s

Shaun4.1

COL55.2

Contested Poss.

Shaun6.1

COL128.0

Goals

Shaun1.4

COL11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

COL concede · Handballs

162.1per game · league avg 155.5

#4 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At M.C.G.4.4(13)-0.7

Everywhere else5.0(40)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)5.3(3)+0.5

Dry games4.9(50)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.