Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Shaun Mannagh

Geelong · @ COL

2.5 MKO —U —

Hit rate

44% (8/18)

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Avg

2.2

1.6

L10

2.3

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ COL

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Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-07-30 19:30☁ 9°C☂ 0.2mm (2%)🌬 5.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Shaunvs all playersStatCOL concedePer game

16.3Disposals389.3

11.3Kicks227.3

2.2Marks105.6

2.6Tackles48.4

2.4Clearances35.6

4.1Inside 50s55.2

6.1Contested Poss.128.0

1.4Goals11.6

Disposals

Shaun16.3

COL389.3

Kicks

Shaun11.3

COL227.3

Marks

Shaun2.2

COL105.6

Tackles

Shaun2.6

COL48.4

Clearances

Shaun2.4

COL35.6

Inside 50s

Shaun4.1

COL55.2

Contested Poss.

Shaun6.1

COL128.0

Goals

Shaun1.4

COL11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

COL concede · Marks

105.6per game · league avg 93.0

#4 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At M.C.G.2.5(13)-0.4

Everywhere else2.9(40)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)3.3(3)+0.6

Dry games2.7(50)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.