Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Shannon Neale

Geelong · @ COL

6.5 KIO —U —

Hit rate

39% (7/18)

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Avg

6.3

6.4

L10

6.7

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ COL

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Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-07-30 19:30☁ 9°C☂ 0.2mm (1%)🌬 5.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Shannonvs all playersStatCOL concedePer game

10.4Disposals389.3

6.3Kicks227.3

4.2Marks105.6

2.6Tackles48.4

0.9Clearances35.6

2.4Inside 50s55.2

5.6Contested Poss.128.0

1.7Goals11.6

Disposals

Shannon10.4

COL389.3

Kicks

Shannon6.3

COL227.3

Marks

Shannon4.2

COL105.6

Tackles

Shannon2.6

COL48.4

Clearances

Shannon0.9

COL35.6

Inside 50s

Shannon2.4

COL55.2

Contested Poss.

Shannon5.6

COL128.0

Goals

Shannon1.7

COL11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

COL concede · Kicks

227.3per game · league avg 213.8

#3 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At M.C.G.4.9(14)-0.8

Everywhere else5.6(49)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)4.7(3)-0.8

Dry games5.5(60)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.