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GEERound 22Sat 08-08 · 16:35ESS
JPJay PolkinghorneMK7.5COConnor OSullivanMK6.5Jeremy CameronJeremy CameronMK6.5Lawson HumphriesLawson HumphriesMK5.5Gryan MiersGryan MiersMK5.5ZGZach GuthrieMK5.5Tom StewartTom StewartMK5.5Max HolmesMax HolmesMK4.5MOMark OConnorMK4.5ODOliver DempseyMK4.5Jack HenryJack HenryMK4.5TBTanner BruhnMK4.5
JFJacob FarrowMK6.5JRJordan RidleyMK6.5Zach ReidZach ReidMK5.5Archie RobertsArchie RobertsMK5.5Angus ClarkeAngus ClarkeMK5.5

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

JPJay Polkinghorne7.5COConnor OSullivan6.5Jeremy CameronJeremy Cameron6.5Lawson HumphriesLawson Humphries5.5Gryan MiersGryan Miers5.5ZGZach Guthrie5.5Tom StewartTom Stewart
Mason RedmanMason RedmanMK5.5
Kyle LangfordKyle LangfordMK5.5
Archie PerkinsArchie PerkinsMK5.5
Xavier DuursmaXavier DuursmaMK4.5
Jaxon PriorJaxon PriorMK4.5
ZJZak JohnsonMK4.5
Zach MerrettZach MerrettMK4.5
5.5
Max HolmesMax Holmes4.5
MOMark OConnor4.5
ODOliver Dempsey4.5
Jack HenryJack Henry4.5
TBTanner Bruhn4.5
JFJacob Farrow6.5
JRJordan Ridley6.5
Zach ReidZach Reid5.5
Archie RobertsArchie Roberts5.5
Angus ClarkeAngus Clarke5.5
Mason RedmanMason Redman5.5
Kyle LangfordKyle Langford5.5
Archie PerkinsArchie Perkins5.5
Xavier DuursmaXavier Duursma4.5
Jaxon PriorJaxon Prior4.5
ZJZak Johnson4.5
Zach MerrettZach Merrett4.5
DisposalsKicksMarksHandballsGoalsTacklesHitoutsClearancesGoal AssistsMarks Inside 50
Current to Round 21, today
CO
Connor OSullivan
Geelong · vs ESS
6.5 MKO —U —
Hit rate
63% (12/19)
enter odds to compare
Avg
6.9
L5
7.6
L10
7.1
High
12
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o6.5
5GCSMar 067FREMar 149ADEMar 266HAWApr 0612WCEApr 121WBDApr 178PORApr 254NORMay 028COLMay 092BRIMay 148SYDMay 2312CARMay 297ADEJun 044GCSJun 1211FREJun 185BRIJul 027GWSJul 117STKJul 168MELJul 24?ESSAug 086.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsKardinia Park · GeelongRound 22 · 2026-08-08 16:35☁ 11.2°C☂ 0.6mm (41%)🌬 20.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Connorvs all playersStatESS concedePer game
15.9
58
Disposalsneutral
100
402.2
Connor 15.9/game
ESS concedes 402.2/game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
9.8
65
Kicksneutral
100
234.0
Connor 9.8/game
ESS concedes 234.0/game · league avg 213.9
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
6.9
97
Marksfavorable
100
118.6
Connor 6.9/game
ESS concedes 118.6/game · league avg 93.5
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.5
24
Tacklesunfavorable
12
50.3
Connor 1.5/game
ESS concedes 50.3/game · league avg 56.5
#16 of 18 clubs most conceded
0.1
8
Clearancesunfavorable
18
33.6
Connor 0.1/game
ESS concedes 33.6/game · league avg 35.7
#15 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.1
16
Inside 50sneutral
88
55.8
Connor 1.1/game
ESS concedes 55.8/game · league avg 52.9
#3 of 18 clubs most conceded
5.6
65
Contested Poss.unfavorable
6
121.8
Connor 5.6/game
ESS concedes 121.8/game · league avg 128.8
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
0.1
18
Goalsneutral
94
15.2
Connor 0.1/game
ESS concedes 15.2/game · league avg 12.8
#2 of 18 clubs most conceded
Disposalsneutral
Connor15.9
58
ESS402.2
100
Connor 15.9/game
ESS concedes 402.2/game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Kicksneutral
Connor9.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Marks

118.6per game · league avg 93.5
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At Kardinia Park6.2(18)+0.1
Everywhere else6.1(27)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)5.7(3)-0.5
Dry games6.2(42)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.

Similar players vs ESS · Marks

Avg diff
+2.2
Avg diff %
+34%
Hit rate
7/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-25HAWOllie Greeves5.78+41%
07-25HAWJames Sicily7.410+34%
07-25HAWJosh Battle6.85-26%
07-25HAWJack Ginnivan5.88+37%
07-25HAWJack Gunston6.211+79%
07-25HAWJarman Impey7.512+61%
07-25HAWBlake Hardwick6.28+29%
07-19GWSSam Taylor5.97+19%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Connor's. Computed from this app's own records.
65
ESS234.0
100
Connor 9.8/game
ESS concedes 234.0/game · league avg 213.9
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Marksfavorable
Connor6.9
97
ESS118.6
100
Connor 6.9/game
ESS concedes 118.6/game · league avg 93.5
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Tacklesunfavorable
Connor1.5
24
ESS50.3
12
Connor 1.5/game
ESS concedes 50.3/game · league avg 56.5
#16 of 18 clubs most conceded
Clearancesunfavorable
Connor0.1
8
ESS33.6
18
Connor 0.1/game
ESS concedes 33.6/game · league avg 35.7
#15 of 18 clubs most conceded
Inside 50sneutral
Connor1.1
16
ESS55.8
88
Connor 1.1/game
ESS concedes 55.8/game · league avg 52.9
#3 of 18 clubs most conceded
Contested Poss.unfavorable
Connor5.6
65
ESS121.8
6
Connor 5.6/game
ESS concedes 121.8/game · league avg 128.8
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
Goalsneutral
Connor0.1
18
ESS15.2
94
Connor 0.1/game
ESS concedes 15.2/game · league avg 12.8
#2 of 18 clubs most conceded