Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Connor OSullivan

Geelong · @ COL

1.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

50% (9/18)

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Avg

1.6

1.2

L10

1.5

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ COL

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Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-07-30 19:30☁ 9°C☂ 0.2mm (1%)🌬 5.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Connorvs all playersStatCOL concedePer game

15.7Disposals389.3

9.7Kicks227.3

6.8Marks105.6

1.6Tackles48.4

0.1Clearances35.6

1.0Inside 50s55.2

5.4Contested Poss.128.0

0.1Goals11.6

Disposals

Connor15.7

COL389.3

Kicks

Connor9.7

COL227.3

Marks

Connor6.8

COL105.6

Tackles

Connor1.6

COL48.4

Clearances

Connor0.1

COL35.6

Inside 50s

Connor1.0

COL55.2

Contested Poss.

Connor5.4

COL128.0

Goals

Connor0.1

COL11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

COL concede · Tackles

48.4per game · league avg 56.9

#18 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At M.C.G.1.8(11)+0.2

Everywhere else1.7(33)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)1.3(3)-0.4

Dry games1.7(41)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.