Only 1 game in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.
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Line Over Under
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Game conditionsKardinia Park · GeelongRound 22 · 2026-08-08 16:35☁ 12.5°C☂ 1mm (47%)🌬 19.2 km/hWet ball risk
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Rhysvs all playersStatESS concedePer game
17.0
64
Disposalsneutral
100
402.2
Rhys 17.0/game
ESS concedes 402.2/game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
8.0
44
Kicksneutral
100
234.0
Rhys 8.0/game
ESS concedes 234.0/game · league avg 213.9
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
3.0
29
Marksneutral
100
118.6
Rhys 3.0/game
ESS concedes 118.6/game · league avg 93.5
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
3.0
76
Tacklesunfavorable
12
50.3
Rhys 3.0/game
ESS concedes 50.3/game · league avg 56.5
#16 of 18 clubs most conceded
3.0
84
Clearancesunfavorable
18
33.6
Rhys 3.0/game
ESS concedes 33.6/game · league avg 35.7
#15 of 18 clubs most conceded
4.0
91
Inside 50sfavorable
88
55.8
Rhys 4.0/game
ESS concedes 55.8/game · league avg 52.9
#3 of 18 clubs most conceded
8.0
87
Contested Poss.unfavorable
6
121.8
Rhys 8.0/game
ESS concedes 121.8/game · league avg 128.8
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Goalsneutral
94
15.2
Rhys 0.0/game
ESS concedes 15.2/game · league avg 12.8
#2 of 18 clubs most conceded
Disposalsneutral
Rhys17.0
64
ESS402.2
100
Rhys 17.0/game
ESS concedes 402.2/game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Kicksneutral
Rhys8.0
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
ESS concede · Handballs
168.2per game · league avg 155.7
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Handballs
At Kardinia Park5.7(39)+0.2
Everywhere else5.5(76)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Handballs
Wet games (≥1mm)5.3(10)-0.3
Dry games5.6(105)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs ESS · Handballs
Avg diff
+1.8
Avg diff %
+19%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-25HAWBailey Macdonald7.76-22%
07-25HAWDylan Moore9.313+40%
07-25HAWOllie Greeves8.78-8%
07-25HAWJarman Impey8.010+25%
07-25HAWConnor Macdonald9.412+27%
07-25HAWCam Mackenzie10.214+37%
07-25HAWWill Day10.311+7%
07-25HAWHarry Morrison8.412+42%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Rhys's. Computed from this app's own records.
