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Game conditionsKardinia Park · GeelongRound 22 · 2026-08-08 16:35☁ 12.5°C☂ 1mm (41%)🌬 19.2 km/hWet ball risk
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Tomvs all playersStatESS concedePer game
21.2
83
Disposalsfavorable
100
402.2
Tom 21.2/game
ESS concedes 402.2/game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
15.2
93
Kicksfavorable
100
234.0
Tom 15.2/game
ESS concedes 234.0/game · league avg 213.9
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
5.1
78
Marksfavorable
100
118.6
Tom 5.1/game
ESS concedes 118.6/game · league avg 93.5
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.6
31
Tacklesunfavorable
12
50.3
Tom 1.6/game
ESS concedes 50.3/game · league avg 56.5
#16 of 18 clubs most conceded
0.5
38
Clearancesunfavorable
18
33.6
Tom 0.5/game
ESS concedes 33.6/game · league avg 35.7
#15 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.1
17
Inside 50sneutral
88
55.8
Tom 1.1/game
ESS concedes 55.8/game · league avg 52.9
#3 of 18 clubs most conceded
6.4
76
Contested Poss.unfavorable
6
121.8
Tom 6.4/game
ESS concedes 121.8/game · league avg 128.8
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
0.1
21
Goalsneutral
94
15.2
Tom 0.1/game
ESS concedes 15.2/game · league avg 12.8
#2 of 18 clubs most conceded
Disposalsfavorable
Tom21.2
83
ESS402.2
100
Tom 21.2/game
ESS concedes 402.2/game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Kicksfavorable
Tom15.2
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
ESS concede · Handballs
168.2per game · league avg 155.7
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Handballs
At Kardinia Park5.3(58)+0.5
Everywhere else4.7(107)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Handballs
Wet games (≥1mm)3.9(15)-1.1
Dry games5.0(150)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs ESS · Handballs
Avg diff
+2.2
Avg diff %
+36%
Hit rate
8/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-25HAWLloyd Meek6.97+2%
07-25HAWBlake Hardwick5.410+86%
07-25HAWJosh Battle7.410+36%
07-25HAWJack Ginnivan7.48+9%
07-25HAWNick Watson5.77+23%
07-19GWSJack Ough7.39+24%
07-19GWSJayden Laverde6.710+49%
07-19GWSHarry Rowston5.89+57%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Tom's. Computed from this app's own records.