AFL
PProjectPunt
Luke Nankervis
Luke Nankervis
Adelaide · vs COL
2.5 TKO U
Hit rate
42% (5/12)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.7
L5
2.8
L10
2.9
High
6
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1GEEMar 262CARApr 092STKApr 182NORMay 166HAWMay 212GEEJun 043WBDJun 115MELJun 202PORJun 273WCEJul 031GCSJul 113SYDJul 17?COLJul 232.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs COL
Game conditionsAdelaide Oval · AdelaideRound 20 · 2026-07-23 19:309.9°C0mm (0%)🌬 9.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Luke14.9
COL389.3
Kicks
Luke8.2
COL227.3
Marks
Luke3.0
COL105.6
Tackles
Luke2.7
COL48.4
Clearances
Luke0.8
COL35.6
Inside 50s
Luke1.1
COL55.2
Contested poss.
Luke5.4
COL128.0
Goals
Luke0.3
COL11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

COL concede · Tackles

48.4per game · league avg 56.9
#18 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At Adelaide Oval2.2(23)+0.2
Everywhere else1.9(16)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)3.0(3)+1.0
Dry games2.0(36)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.