Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Sam Clohesy

Gold Coast · vs MEL

9.5 KIO —U —

Hit rate

44% (4/9)

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Avg

9.0

6.8

L10

9.0

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs MEL

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Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 17.7°C☂ 0mm (28%)🌬 13.9 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Samvs all playersStatMEL concedePer game

16.1Disposals382.0

9.0Kicks220.8

4.7Marks101.2

2.7Tackles51.0

0.6Clearances35.6

2.1Inside 50s52.3

4.1Contested Poss.129.3

0.2Goals13.1

Disposals

Sam16.1

MEL382.0

Kicks

Sam9.0

MEL220.8

Marks

Sam4.7

MEL101.2

Tackles

Sam2.7

MEL51.0

Clearances

Sam0.6

MEL35.6

Inside 50s

Sam2.1

MEL52.3

Contested Poss.

Sam4.1

MEL129.3

Goals

Sam0.2

MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Kicks

220.8per game · league avg 213.8

#5 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At Carrara8.7(15)-1.3

Everywhere else10.0(28)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)7.5(2)-2.1

Dry games9.6(41)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.