AFL
PProjectPunt
Sam Collins
Sam Collins
Gold Coast · @ CAR
0.5 FFO U
Hit rate
56% (10/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.9
L5
0.8
L10
1.1
High
3
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0GEEMar 060WCEMar 150RICMar 211MELApr 051SYDApr 110ESSApr 183HAWApr 250GWSMay 032STKMay 091PORMay 150NORMay 232BRIJun 062GEEJun 121HAWJun 190FREJun 281COLJul 040ADEJul 112WBDJul 19?CARJul 250.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 @ CAR
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Sam14.6
CAR363.6
Kicks
Sam7.6
CAR210.2
Marks
Sam6.6
CAR89.8
Tackles
Sam1.2
CAR59.8
Clearances
Sam0.2
CAR35.7
Inside 50s
Sam0.3
CAR52.9
Contested poss.
Sam6.1
CAR127.7
Goals
Sam0.0
CAR12.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

CAR concede · Frees For

20.1per game · league avg 19.0
#6 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At Docklands1.5(8)+0.7
Everywhere else0.8(55)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)0.7(3)-0.3
Dry games0.9(60)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.