P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Bailey Humphrey
Bailey Humphrey
Gold Coast · vs MEL
7.5 KIO U
Hit rate
47% (7/15)
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Avg
7.2
L5
5.2
L10
6.3
High
11
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
11GEEMar 0610RICMar 2111ESSApr 185HAWApr 258GWSMay 0311STKMay 097PORMay 159NORMay 236BRIJun 064GEEJun 128HAWJun 192FREJun 286COLJul 043ADEJul 117WBDJul 19?MELAug 027.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs MEL

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Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:1517.7°C0mm (28%)🌬 13.9 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Bailey12.7
MEL382.0
Kicks
Bailey7.2
MEL220.8
Marks
Bailey2.8
MEL101.2
Tackles
Bailey3.2
MEL51.0
Clearances
Bailey0.9
MEL35.6
Inside 50s
Bailey3.6
MEL52.3
Contested Poss.
Bailey5.5
MEL129.3
Goals
Bailey0.9
MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Kicks

220.8per game · league avg 213.8
#5 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At Carrara7.5(31)+0.4
Everywhere else7.1(47)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)7.7(3)+0.4
Dry games7.3(75)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.