Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Wil Powell

Gold Coast · vs MEL

7.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

31% (5/16)

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Avg

7.1

8.0

L10

6.9

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs MEL

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Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 17.7°C☂ 0mm (28%)🌬 13.9 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Wilvs all playersStatMEL concedePer game

17.8Disposals382.0

10.7Kicks220.8

5.1Marks101.2

3.7Tackles51.0

1.1Clearances35.6

2.5Inside 50s52.3

5.1Contested Poss.129.3

0.3Goals13.1

Disposals

Wil17.8

MEL382.0

Kicks

Wil10.7

MEL220.8

Marks

Wil5.1

MEL101.2

Tackles

Wil3.7

MEL51.0

Clearances

Wil1.1

MEL35.6

Inside 50s

Wil2.5

MEL52.3

Contested Poss.

Wil5.1

MEL129.3

Goals

Wil0.3

MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Handballs

161.2per game · league avg 155.5

#5 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At Carrara5.9(57)

Everywhere else5.9(82)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)5.1(8)-0.8

Dry games6.0(131)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.