AFL
PProjectPunt
Ethan Read
Ethan Read
Gold Coast · @ CAR
1.5 FFO U
Hit rate
18% (2/11)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.0
L5
1.6
L10
1.1
High
4
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0GEEMar 061WCEMar 150RICMar 211MELApr 051SYDApr 110ESSApr 184HAWApr 251GWSMay 032STKMay 090COLJul 041ADEJul 11?CARJul 251.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ CAR
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Ethan9.4
CAR363.6
Kicks
Ethan5.2
CAR210.2
Marks
Ethan3.0
CAR89.8
Tackles
Ethan1.2
CAR59.8
Clearances
Ethan0.5
CAR35.7
Inside 50s
Ethan0.9
CAR52.9
Contested poss.
Ethan4.3
CAR127.7
Goals
Ethan0.9
CAR12.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

CAR concede · Frees For

20.1per game · league avg 19.0
#6 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At Docklands0.8(4)-0.2
Everywhere else0.9(32)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(1)+0.1
Dry games0.9(35)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.