AFL
PProjectPunt
Ethan Read
Ethan Read
Gold Coast · @ CAR
2.5 HOO U
Hit rate
27% (3/11)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.0
L5
1.6
L10
1.6
High
6
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
6GEEMar 062WCEMar 153RICMar 210MELApr 051SYDApr 112ESSApr 182HAWApr 252GWSMay 030STKMay 091COLJul 043ADEJul 11?CARJul 252.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ CAR
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Ethan9.4
CAR363.6
Kicks
Ethan5.2
CAR210.2
Marks
Ethan3.0
CAR89.8
Tackles
Ethan1.2
CAR59.8
Clearances
Ethan0.5
CAR35.7
Inside 50s
Ethan0.9
CAR52.9
Contested poss.
Ethan4.3
CAR127.7
Goals
Ethan0.9
CAR12.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

CAR concede · Hitouts

39.8per game · league avg 35.2
#4 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Hitouts

At Docklands3.5(4)+0.1
Everywhere else3.4(32)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Hitouts

Wet games (≥1mm)7.0(1)+3.7
Dry games3.3(35)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.