Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Ethan Read

Gold Coast · vs MEL

1.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

36% (4/11)

enter odds to compare

Avg

1.2

0.2

L10

0.9

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 21 vs MEL

Enter odds and a stake to track this bet. You'll settle it by hand on the bets page — nothing grades itself.

Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.8°C☂ 0.5mm (28%)🌬 15.2 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Ethanvs all playersStatMEL concedePer game

9.4Disposals382.0

5.2Kicks220.8

3.0Marks101.2

1.2Tackles51.0

0.5Clearances35.6

0.9Inside 50s52.3

4.3Contested Poss.129.3

0.9Goals13.1

Disposals

Ethan9.4

MEL382.0

Kicks

Ethan5.2

MEL220.8

Marks

Ethan3.0

MEL101.2

Tackles

Ethan1.2

MEL51.0

Clearances

Ethan0.5

MEL35.6

Inside 50s

Ethan0.9

MEL52.3

Contested Poss.

Ethan4.3

MEL129.3

Goals

Ethan0.9

MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Tackles

51.0per game · league avg 56.9

#15 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At Carrara1.5(14)+0.5

Everywhere else1.0(22)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(1)+0.8

Dry games1.2(35)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.