P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Jake Rogers
Jake Rogers
Gold Coast · vs MEL
9.5 DIO U
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
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Avg
9.8
L5
9.8
L10
9.8
High
15
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
15WCEMar 159RICMar 218MELApr 0510ESSApr 187HAWApr 25?MELAug 029.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs MEL

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Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:1516.8°C0.5mm (28%)🌬 15.2 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Jake9.8
MEL382.0
Kicks
Jake4.2
MEL220.8
Marks
Jake1.4
MEL101.2
Tackles
Jake2.4
MEL51.0
Clearances
Jake0.6
MEL35.6
Inside 50s
Jake1.4
MEL52.3
Contested Poss.
Jake4.2
MEL129.3
Goals
Jake0.6
MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Disposals

382.0per game · league avg 369.3
#5 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At Carrara10.4(7)+2.7
Everywhere else7.8(16)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)10.0(1)+1.5
Dry games8.5(22)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.