AFL
PProjectPunt
Luke Pedlar
Luke Pedlar
Adelaide · vs COL
3.5 HBO U
Hit rate
40% (4/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
3.6
L5
4.4
L10
3.6
High
8
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0COLMar 142WBDMar 202GEEMar 264FREApr 036STKApr 183BRIApr 268PORMay 011RICMay 108NORMay 162WBDJun 11?COLJul 233.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs COL
Game conditionsAdelaide Oval · AdelaideRound 20 · 2026-07-23 19:309.9°C0mm (0%)🌬 9.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Luke9.5
COL389.3
Kicks
Luke5.9
COL227.3
Marks
Luke2.9
COL105.6
Tackles
Luke2.1
COL48.4
Clearances
Luke0.4
COL35.6
Inside 50s
Luke1.7
COL55.2
Contested poss.
Luke3.6
COL128.0
Goals
Luke0.8
COL11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

COL concede · Handballs

162.1per game · league avg 155.5
#4 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At Adelaide Oval3.0(12)+1.2
Everywhere else1.8(11)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)3.0(3)+0.6
Dry games2.4(20)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.