AFL
PProjectPunt
Luke Pedlar
Luke Pedlar
Adelaide · vs COL
5.5 KIO U
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
5.9
L5
6.2
L10
5.9
High
10
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
7COLMar 145WBDMar 205GEEMar 264FREApr 037STKApr 1810BRIApr 264PORMay 017RICMay 108NORMay 162WBDJun 11?COLJul 235.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs COL
Game conditionsAdelaide Oval · AdelaideRound 20 · 2026-07-23 19:309.9°C0mm (0%)🌬 9.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Luke9.5
COL389.3
Kicks
Luke5.9
COL227.3
Marks
Luke2.9
COL105.6
Tackles
Luke2.1
COL48.4
Clearances
Luke0.4
COL35.6
Inside 50s
Luke1.7
COL55.2
Contested poss.
Luke3.6
COL128.0
Goals
Luke0.8
COL11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

COL concede · Kicks

227.3per game · league avg 213.8
#3 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At Adelaide Oval5.8(12)+0.8
Everywhere else5.0(11)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)5.3(3)-0.1
Dry games5.5(20)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.