P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Luke Pedlar
Luke Pedlar
Adelaide · @ ESS
5.5 KIO U
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
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Avg
5.9
L5
6.2
L10
5.9
High
10
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
7COLMar 145WBDMar 205GEEMar 264FREApr 037STKApr 1810BRIApr 264PORMay 017RICMay 108NORMay 162WBDJun 11?ESSAug 025.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS

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Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Luke9.5
ESS398.8
Kicks
Luke5.9
ESS232.6
Marks
Luke2.9
ESS116.9
Tackles
Luke2.1
ESS50.5
Clearances
Luke0.4
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Luke1.7
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Luke3.6
ESS121.4
Goals
Luke0.8
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Kicks

232.6per game · league avg 213.8
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At Docklands4.0(3)-2.9
Everywhere else6.9(44)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)6.5(6)-0.2
Dry games6.7(41)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.