P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Luke Pedlar
Luke Pedlar
Adelaide · @ ESS
2.5 MKO U
Hit rate
60% (6/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.9
L5
3.8
L10
2.9
High
6
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
3COLMar 142WBDMar 200GEEMar 262FREApr 033STKApr 185BRIApr 263PORMay 016RICMay 104NORMay 161WBDJun 11?ESSAug 022.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 21 @ ESS

Enter odds and a stake to track this bet. You'll settle it by hand on the bets page — nothing grades itself.

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Luke9.5
ESS398.8
Kicks
Luke5.9
ESS232.6
Marks
Luke2.9
ESS116.9
Tackles
Luke2.1
ESS50.5
Clearances
Luke0.4
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Luke1.7
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Luke3.6
ESS121.4
Goals
Luke0.8
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Marks

116.9per game · league avg 93.0
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At Docklands0.7(3)-2.3
Everywhere else3.0(44)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)2.5(6)-0.4
Dry games2.9(41)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.