Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Bodhi Uwland

Gold Coast · vs MEL

8.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

56% (10/18)

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Avg

8.7

9.6

L10

9.0

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs MEL

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Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 17.7°C☂ 0mm (28%)🌬 13.9 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Bodhivs all playersStatMEL concedePer game

24.2Disposals382.0

15.4Kicks220.8

6.4Marks101.2

1.5Tackles51.0

0.6Clearances35.6

1.4Inside 50s52.3

5.8Contested Poss.129.3

0.1Goals13.1

Disposals

Bodhi24.2

MEL382.0

Kicks

Bodhi15.4

MEL220.8

Marks

Bodhi6.4

MEL101.2

Tackles

Bodhi1.5

MEL51.0

Clearances

Bodhi0.6

MEL35.6

Inside 50s

Bodhi1.4

MEL52.3

Contested Poss.

Bodhi5.8

MEL129.3

Goals

Bodhi0.1

MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Handballs

161.2per game · league avg 155.5

#5 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At Carrara7.0(26)+1.1

Everywhere else5.9(41)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)5.3(3)-1.0

Dry games6.3(64)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.