P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Hugh Bond
Hugh Bond
Adelaide · @ ESS
7.5 KIO U
Hit rate
43% (3/7)
enter odds to compare
Avg
7.6
L5
7.4
L10
7.6
High
12
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
10COLMar 146GEEMar 265FREApr 0311STKApr 1812BRIApr 263PORMay 016RICMay 10?ESSAug 027.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS

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Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Hugh11.0
ESS398.8
Kicks
Hugh7.6
ESS232.6
Marks
Hugh3.1
ESS116.9
Tackles
Hugh2.4
ESS50.5
Clearances
Hugh0.6
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Hugh0.7
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Hugh3.4
ESS121.4
Goals
Hugh0.0
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Kicks

232.6per game · league avg 213.8
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At Docklands3.0(2)-2.2
Everywhere else5.2(17)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)3.3(3)-2.0
Dry games5.3(16)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.