AFL
PProjectPunt
Jesse Hogan
Jesse Hogan
Greater Western Sydney · vs SYD
1.5 GLO U
Hit rate
44% (4/9)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.3
L5
1.4
L10
1.3
High
3
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
3HAWMar 070WBDMar 142STKMar 210COLMar 272RICApr 122NORApr 261GCSMay 031STKJun 141CARJun 20?SYDJul 251.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs SYD
Game conditionsSydney Showground · SydneyRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:3516°C0mm (0%)🌬 2.7 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Jesse9.0
SYD365.6
Kicks
Jesse6.2
SYD210.9
Marks
Jesse4.4
SYD80.8
Tackles
Jesse0.9
SYD54.6
Clearances
Jesse0.1
SYD38.8
Inside 50s
Jesse1.6
SYD55.2
Contested poss.
Jesse3.6
SYD139.3
Goals
Jesse1.3
SYD11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SYD concede · Goals

11.6per game · league avg 12.7
#16 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Goals

At Sydney Showground3.1(19)+0.7
Everywhere else2.5(31)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goals

Wet games (≥1mm)3.0(1)+0.3
Dry games2.7(49)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.