AFL
PProjectPunt
Jesse Hogan
Jesse Hogan
Greater Western Sydney · vs SYD
4.5 MKO U
Hit rate
33% (3/9)
enter odds to compare
Avg
4.4
L5
5.2
L10
4.4
High
6
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
3HAWMar 073WBDMar 144STKMar 214COLMar 276RICApr 126NORApr 266GCSMay 034STKJun 144CARJun 20?SYDJul 254.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs SYD
Game conditionsSydney Showground · SydneyRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:3516°C0mm (0%)🌬 2.7 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Jesse9.0
SYD365.6
Kicks
Jesse6.2
SYD210.9
Marks
Jesse4.4
SYD80.8
Tackles
Jesse0.9
SYD54.6
Clearances
Jesse0.1
SYD38.8
Inside 50s
Jesse1.6
SYD55.2
Contested poss.
Jesse3.6
SYD139.3
Goals
Jesse1.3
SYD11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SYD concede · Marks

80.8per game · league avg 93.0
#16 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Marks

At Sydney Showground6.3(19)+1.0
Everywhere else5.3(31)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)3.0(1)-2.7
Dry games5.7(49)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.