Sam Butler
Hawthorn · vs ESS
3.5 MKO —U —
Hit rate
43% (3/7)
enter odds to compare
Avg
3.6
L5
3.2
L10
3.6
High
7
Line Over Under
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Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly11.9Disposals398.8
8.0Kicks232.6
3.6Marks116.9
3.7Tackles50.5
0.9Clearances33.3
2.1Inside 50s55.1
3.1Contested poss.121.4
0.6Goals15.0
Disposals
Sam11.9
ESS398.8
Kicks
Sam8.0
ESS232.6
Marks
Sam3.6
ESS116.9
Tackles
Sam3.7
ESS50.5
Clearances
Sam0.9
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Sam2.1
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Sam3.1
ESS121.4
Goals
Sam0.6
ESS15.0
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
ESS concede · Marks
116.9per game · league avg 93.0
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Marks
At M.C.G.4.0(4)+1.5
Everywhere else2.5(11)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Marks
Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(1)-1.0
Dry games3.0(14)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.