Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Mabior Chol

Hawthorn · vs NOR

1.5 GLO —U —

Hit rate

62% (8/13)

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Avg

1.8

2.2

L10

1.9

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs NOR

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Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.6°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 14.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Mabiorvs all playersStatNOR concedePer game

10.0Disposals340.7

8.0Kicks197.6

4.5Marks90.7

2.2Tackles54.6

1.5Clearances33.9

2.2Inside 50s52.3

5.5Contested Poss.119.2

1.8Goals13.4

Disposals

Mabior10.0

NOR340.7

Kicks

Mabior8.0

NOR197.6

Marks

Mabior4.5

NOR90.7

Tackles

Mabior2.2

NOR54.6

Clearances

Mabior1.5

NOR33.9

Inside 50s

Mabior2.2

NOR52.3

Contested Poss.

Mabior5.5

NOR119.2

Goals

Mabior1.8

NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Goals

13.4per game · league avg 12.7

#4 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goals

At York Park2.3(8)+0.6

Everywhere else1.6(52)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goals

Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(7)+0.3

Dry games1.7(53)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.