AFL
PProjectPunt
Mabior Chol
Mabior Chol
Hawthorn · vs ESS
2.5 HBO U
Hit rate
31% (4/13)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.0
L5
2.2
L10
2.2
High
4
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1GWSMar 071ESSMar 132SYDMar 194GEEApr 060WBDApr 114ADEMay 211STKMay 282WBDJun 053GCSJun 191GWSJun 262MELJul 043CARJul 112RICJul 19?ESSJul 252.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (35%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Mabior10.0
ESS398.8
Kicks
Mabior8.0
ESS232.6
Marks
Mabior4.5
ESS116.9
Tackles
Mabior2.2
ESS50.5
Clearances
Mabior1.5
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Mabior2.2
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Mabior5.5
ESS121.4
Goals
Mabior1.8
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Handballs

166.2per game · league avg 155.5
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At M.C.G.2.1(27)-0.5
Everywhere else2.6(33)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)1.4(7)-1.0
Dry games2.5(53)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.