AFL
PProjectPunt
Mabior Chol
Mabior Chol
Hawthorn · vs ESS
8.5 KIO U
Hit rate
38% (5/13)
enter odds to compare
Avg
8.0
L5
9.4
L10
7.9
High
15
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
8GWSMar 0713ESSMar 134SYDMar 198GEEApr 061WBDApr 114ADEMay 219STKMay 2810WBDJun 055GCSJun 198GWSJun 2615MELJul 0413CARJul 116RICJul 19?ESSJul 258.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Mabior10.0
ESS398.8
Kicks
Mabior8.0
ESS232.6
Marks
Mabior4.5
ESS116.9
Tackles
Mabior2.2
ESS50.5
Clearances
Mabior1.5
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Mabior2.2
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Mabior5.5
ESS121.4
Goals
Mabior1.8
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Kicks

232.6per game · league avg 213.8
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At M.C.G.8.1(27)+1.3
Everywhere else6.8(33)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)10.0(7)+3.0
Dry games7.0(53)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.