AFL
PProjectPunt
Calsher Dear
Calsher Dear
Hawthorn · vs ESS
3.5 MKO U
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
enter odds to compare
Avg
3.6
L5
3.6
L10
3.6
High
5
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
5PORApr 182GCSApr 254COLApr 304MELMay 163GWSJun 26?ESSJul 253.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Calsher9.0
ESS398.8
Kicks
Calsher5.4
ESS232.6
Marks
Calsher3.6
ESS116.9
Tackles
Calsher2.6
ESS50.5
Clearances
Calsher0.0
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Calsher1.6
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Calsher4.4
ESS121.4
Goals
Calsher0.8
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Marks

116.9per game · league avg 93.0
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At M.C.G.3.4(12)+1.1
Everywhere else2.3(19)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)3.3(3)+0.7
Dry games2.7(28)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.