Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Calsher Dear

Hawthorn · vs NOR

2.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

40% (2/5)

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Avg

2.6

L10

2.6

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs NOR

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Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.6°C☂ 0mm (4%)🌬 14.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Calshervs all playersStatNOR concedePer game

9.0Disposals340.7

5.4Kicks197.6

3.6Marks90.7

2.6Tackles54.6

0.0Clearances33.9

1.6Inside 50s52.3

4.4Contested Poss.119.2

0.8Goals13.4

Disposals

Calsher9.0

NOR340.7

Kicks

Calsher5.4

NOR197.6

Marks

Calsher3.6

NOR90.7

Tackles

Calsher2.6

NOR54.6

Clearances

Calsher0.0

NOR33.9

Inside 50s

Calsher1.6

NOR52.3

Contested Poss.

Calsher4.4

NOR119.2

Goals

Calsher0.8

NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Tackles

54.6per game · league avg 56.9

#13 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At York Park2.7(6)+0.5

Everywhere else2.2(25)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)3.0(3)+0.8

Dry games2.2(28)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.