Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Jack Ginnivan

Hawthorn · vs NOR

2.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

28% (5/18)

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Avg

2.4

3.2

L10

2.8

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs NOR

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Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.6°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 14.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jackvs all playersStatNOR concedePer game

19.6Disposals340.7

12.2Kicks197.6

5.4Marks90.7

2.4Tackles54.6

1.2Clearances33.9

4.3Inside 50s52.3

5.4Contested Poss.119.2

1.0Goals13.4

Disposals

Jack19.6

NOR340.7

Kicks

Jack12.2

NOR197.6

Marks

Jack5.4

NOR90.7

Tackles

Jack2.4

NOR54.6

Clearances

Jack1.2

NOR33.9

Inside 50s

Jack4.3

NOR52.3

Contested Poss.

Jack5.4

NOR119.2

Goals

Jack1.0

NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Tackles

54.6per game · league avg 56.9

#13 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At York Park3.0(10)+0.7

Everywhere else2.3(56)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)3.6(7)+1.3

Dry games2.3(59)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.