AFL
PProjectPunt
Blake Hardwick
Blake Hardwick
Hawthorn · vs ESS
0.5 FFO U
Hit rate
50% (9/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.7
L5
0.4
L10
0.6
High
3
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2GWSMar 070ESSMar 131SYDMar 191GEEApr 062WBDApr 111PORApr 180GCSApr 250COLApr 300FREMay 073MELMay 161ADEMay 210STKMay 280WBDJun 050GCSJun 191GWSJun 260MELJul 041CARJul 110RICJul 19?ESSJul 250.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (35%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Blake17.4
ESS398.8
Kicks
Blake12.3
ESS232.6
Marks
Blake6.1
ESS116.9
Tackles
Blake2.4
ESS50.5
Clearances
Blake0.4
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Blake1.2
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Blake4.3
ESS121.4
Goals
Blake0.5
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Frees For

18.7per game · league avg 19.0
#10 of 18 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Frees For

At M.C.G.0.7(30)
Everywhere else0.7(39)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(8)+0.3
Dry games0.7(61)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.