AFL
PProjectPunt
Blake Hardwick
Blake Hardwick
Hawthorn · vs ESS
2.5 TKO U
Hit rate
50% (9/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.4
L5
2.6
L10
2.2
High
6
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2GWSMar 070ESSMar 133SYDMar 194GEEApr 066WBDApr 113PORApr 181GCSApr 252COLApr 301FREMay 073MELMay 163ADEMay 210STKMay 282WBDJun 052GCSJun 193GWSJun 262MELJul 043CARJul 113RICJul 19?ESSJul 252.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Blake17.4
ESS398.8
Kicks
Blake12.3
ESS232.6
Marks
Blake6.1
ESS116.9
Tackles
Blake2.4
ESS50.5
Clearances
Blake0.4
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Blake1.2
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Blake4.3
ESS121.4
Goals
Blake0.5
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Tackles

50.5per game · league avg 56.9
#16 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At M.C.G.2.1(30)-0.6
Everywhere else2.7(39)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)2.5(8)+0.1
Dry games2.4(61)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.